Recruiting at a high level and consistently importing four- and five-star prospects doesn’t guarantee you conference championships or national championships. It may not even guarantee you a winning record (Amirite, Texas?).
What it does give you, however, is a better shot at achieving the aforementioned goals. I’m not a math guru (I really am, I just don’t want to flash my résumé on the interwebs) but a simple, straightforward formula